Opinion polls predict LDF government in Kerala
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As the state preps for the poll results tomorrow with fervour, post-poll surveys give an insight into what could be expected. While most predict a second term for the CPIM-led Left Democratic Front against its key opponent in the state, the Congress-led United Democratic Front, the margins predicted vary. There are also multiple predictions on the possible in-roads of the saffron party in the state.
As per Mathrubhumi's CVoter survey, the LDF is expected to win 73-83 seats while the UDF bags 56-66 seats. The BJP is expected to win 0-1 seat. Likewise, the Manorama-VMR survey predicts a victory for the LDF with 77-82 seats while the UDF bags 54-59 seats while the saffron party continues to be negligible in the state with 0-3 seats. MediaOne predicts the saffron party to stay negligent in the state with 0-2 seats while the LDF bags 74-80 seats and the UDF follow close with 58-64. Asianet's C-fore survey, however, has predicted greater impact and assured representation for the BJP in the state assembly with 3-7 seats.
India Today, however, has predicted a whopping victory for the LDF with a margin higher than as predicted by home ground media platforms. It predicts the LDF to bag a majority in the state with 104-120 seats while the UDF is reduced to merely 20-36 seats, and the saffron party remains marginal with 0-2 seats. Today's Chanakya also predicts a victory for the LDF with 102 ± 9 seats while the UDF is reduced to 35 ± 9 seats, and the BJP wins 3 ± 3 seats.
Republic, however, has predicted higher inroads for the saffron party in the state with 1-5 seats while the Left-led front wins 72-80 seats and the Congress-led UDF wins 58-64 seats. However, Times Now's C Voter survey is not as hopeful for the BJP and has predicted a maximum of two seats for the party. It predicts the LDF to lead with 71-77 seats while UDF follows up close with 62-68 seats.
India News' survey, however, predicts the strongest competition with both the fronts showing equal chances of forming the government. They predict 64-76 seats for the LDF and 61-71 for the UDF. In the 140 member assembly, 71 seats are needed to form majority.