Weather agency predicts bleak monsoon in India raising concerns about water shortage

New Delhi: Monsoon is playing hide and seek this time with fewer rainfalls since June in places including Kerala.

Now a study foresees longer period of disrupted monsoon ahead, raising concerns about its impact on agriculture.

Private forecasting agency Skymet Weather has predicted a bleak monsoon in India over the next four weeks.

"Extended Range Prediction System (ERPS) is projecting a dismal outlook for the next four weeks, until July 6. The agricultural heartland is looking rather cracked and parched. This coincides with the crucial time of sowing or at least preparing the field, with the hope of impending rains," it said on Monday.

The central and western parts of India, which form the core monsoon zone, may face challenges in coping with the drying effects due to inadequate rainfall early in the season, Skymet Weather said.

The southwest monsoon reached Kerala on June 8, a week after the usual date of June

Cyclone Biparjoy in the Arabian Sea first delayed the monsoon onset over Kerala and is now impeding the advance of the rain-bearing system, preventing it from reaching the interior regions of the peninsula, the private agency said.

While monsoon rains usually cover Maharashtra, Odisha, and half of Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, and Bihar by June 15, the monsoon stream is still grappling to settle over these areas.

At present, the visible manifestation of monsoon surge is limited to the northeast and the west coast.

Unfortunately, there are no signs of weather systems emerging over the Bay of Bengal in the near future, which are crucial drivers of the monsoon.

PTI with inputs