As per forecast models, the Southwest monsoon is all set to enter an active phase with increasing rain starting from July 8 after a break, informed M Rajeevan, Secretary of Ministry of Earth Sciences on Sunday.
"Monsoon Update: @moesgoi models show signs of revival- increasing rains in South, west coast & East Central India from 8 Jul. Models also make an early indication of formation of a weather system over BoB by12th & subsequent active monsoon phase," Rajeevan tweeted.
Meanwhile, the India Meteorological Department has forecast good rainfall in July for India as a whole. However, parts of north India, some parts of the south peninsula, central, east, and northeast India could witness normal to below normal rainfall. Until July 7, conditions are not favourable for the monsoon's progress due to the lack of a weather system. The northern limit of the southwest monsoon (NLM) is currently passing through Aligarh, Meerut, Ambala, and Amritsar, the IMD said.
"Prevailing meteorological conditions, large scale atmospheric features and the forecast wind pattern by dynamical models suggest that no favourable conditions are likely to develop for further advance of southwest monsoon into remaining parts of Rajasthan, west Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, and Punjab during next 4-5 days," the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said, while adding that subdued rainfall is likely to continue over the northwest, central, and western parts of peninsular India during the next 4-5 days.
Following a good spell in the first two weeks of June, the monsoon had slackened since June 19. Furthermore, Delhi, Haryana, west Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, west Rajasthan are yet to see the monsoon.